Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.483558 0.552075 0.623518 0.703290 0.789594 0.879880 0.981200
2024-12-15 0.406602 0.505326 0.613797 0.740705 0.884008 1.039772 1.220831
2024-12-22 0.329252 0.445357 0.579569 0.743528 0.935830 1.151795 1.410229
2024-12-29 0.287173 0.419268 0.578926 0.781192 1.025834 1.307719 1.652607
2025-01-05 0.239526 0.379130 0.555801 0.787825 1.076851 1.417941 1.843790
2025-01-12 0.200790 0.344584 0.534897 0.793409 1.124163 1.522852 2.029424
2025-01-19 0.173977 0.322130 0.526419 0.812298 1.186561 1.645784 2.237774
2025-01-26 0.153527 0.305625 0.523515 0.836709 1.255083 1.776358 2.456647
2025-02-02 0.135855 0.290597 0.520621 0.859681 1.321071 1.903950 2.673013
2025-02-09 0.114070 0.265625 0.500707 0.857085 1.351927 1.986404 2.833310
2025-02-16 0.099496 0.250344 0.493339 0.870704 1.403656 2.095437 3.027631
2025-02-23 0.083354 0.229531 0.475302 0.867220 1.430917 2.172177 3.181017
2025-03-02 0.065315 0.202036 0.444498 0.843625 1.430094 2.212939 3.290494
2025-03-09 0.056538 0.191292 0.439948 0.858739 1.483424 2.325982 3.494754
2025-03-16 0.044863 0.171635 0.418178 0.845725 1.495590 2.383408 3.626686
2025-03-23 0.040679 0.168270 0.424549 0.876785 1.571785 2.528321 3.875117
2025-03-30 0.033472 0.155653 0.412831 0.877939 1.603721 2.612820 4.044164
2025-04-06 0.027486 0.144436 0.402442 0.880307 1.636922 2.698992 4.215900
2025-04-13 0.023787 0.138591 0.401717 0.898323 1.693541 2.818025 4.432549
2025-04-20 0.021103 0.135041 0.405090 0.923054 1.760436 2.951860 4.670025
2025-04-27 0.018637 0.131434 0.407933 0.946734 1.825912 3.084245 4.906541
2025-05-04 0.014715 0.121126 0.395699 0.943459 1.849430 3.157282 5.062779
2025-05-11 0.012401 0.115835 0.393602 0.957668 1.900057 3.269124 5.272674